Theacrylonitrilemasana'antu sun haifar da sake zagayowar iya aiki a cikin 2022, tare da ƙarfin haɓaka sama da 10% na shekara-shekara da haɓaka matsin lamba. Hakazalika, mun ga cewa bangaren bukatar ba shi da kyau kamar yadda ya kamata saboda annoba, kuma masana'antu sun mamaye ta hanyar raguwa, tare da wurare masu haske da wuya a samu.

Tushen bayanai: Goldlink

Kasuwancin acrylonitrile na cikin gida a farkon rabin 2022 ya nuna raguwar farko da ke biye da kewayon oscillation da yawa. Idan muka yi la'akari da kasuwannin gabashin kasar Sin, matsakaicin farashin a farkon rabin farkon shekarar 2022 ya kasance a RMB 11,455/ton, ya ragu da kashi 21.29% a duk shekara, tare da farashin mafi girma na RMB 13,100/ton, wanda ya faru a watan Janairu, kuma mafi ƙasƙanci na RMB 10,800/ton, wanda ya faru a watan Yuni.

Manyan abubuwan da suka shafi kasuwa sune.

I. Ƙaruwar wadata. Shekarar 2022 har yanzu shekara ce ta fadada acrylonitrile na cikin gida mai da hankali, tare da yin aiki da nau'ikan tsire-tsire na acrylonitrile guda 2 tare da jimillar ton 390,000 a kowace shekara, gami da Lihua Yi ton 260,000 / shekara da Tianchen Qixiang ton 130,000 / shekara. Kodayake yawan fitar da kayayyaki ya karu da kashi 12.1 cikin 100 na shekara-shekara daga watan Janairu zuwa Mayu, har yanzu wadata da bukatu na ci gaba da samun sauki.

Na biyu, sake bullar cutar ta haifar da karuwar matsin lamba kan kayayyakin masana'anta. Tun lokacin da aka shiga shekarar 2022, ko da yaushe ya kasance cikin matakin samar da kayayyaki, kamfanoni da kayayyakin jama'a sun kara habaka tattalin arziki bayan barkewar cutar a karshen kwata na farko, kayan aiki a gabashin kasar Sin da Shandong sun tsaya tsayin daka, kuma akwai wani babban yanki. na rage raguwa da kuma rufewa, bayan raunin da ake bukata, acrylonitrile masana'antun kayan aikin kayan aiki yana karuwa, ya ci gaba da rage manufofin inganta farashin.

Na uku, haɓakar buƙatun masana'antu na ƙasa yana iyakance. 150,000 ton / shekara na sabon LG Huizhou shuka an kara zuwa ABS a farkon rabin na 2022, ta amfani da kawai 37,500 ton / shekara na albarkatun kasa acrylonitrile, don haka girma na ƙasa iya aiki ne kasa da girma na albarkatun kasa, don haka matsakaicin budewa. na tsire-tsire na acrylonitrile a farkon rabin shekara yana kusa da 80%, wanda ke nuna cewa matsa lamba na tallace-tallace na shuka.

A cikin rabin na biyu na shekarar 2022, kasuwar acrylonitrile ta kasar Sin za ta ci gaba da tafiyar da harkokinta na karanci, kuma sararin daidaitawa yana da iyaka. Bugu da ƙari, sabon ƙarfin samar da acrylonitrile ya karu sosai a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara, kuma adadin kayan da aka kawo na iya ci gaba da karuwa. Duk da haka, kawai ABS ne kawai ake tsammanin za a shigar da sababbin na'urori a cikin aiki, buƙatun gabaɗaya yana iyakance, a ƙarƙashin rashin daidaituwa tsakanin wadata da buƙata, samar da acrylonitrile da sabawar buƙatu za su ci gaba da karuwa, lokacin da bude masana'anta kuma yana da wuyar haɓakawa, ya fi girma. kamfanoni masu iya aiki za su sayi matakan da ba su da kyau. Tun da acrylonitrile ya fi yawa a ƙarƙashin layin farashi, har yanzu ya zama dole a kula da yanayin da ake samu na propylene. Ana sa ran farashin tsoffin masana'antu (farashin kasuwa) zai kasance a cikin kewayon RMB 10,000-12,000/mt a cikin manyan yankuna, tare da babban batu mai yiwuwa ya faru a watan Agusta.

A cikin kasuwar acrylonitrile ta kasar Sin a cikin rabin na biyu na 2022, kayan abinci propylene shine babban abin da ke tasiri ga hauhawar farashin. Tun da gagarumin fadada ƙarfin samarwa a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara shine ƙaddamarwa da aka riga aka rigaya, yana da wuya a sami dama mai mahimmanci na sake dawowa da farashi a rabi na biyu. Saboda haka, farashin albarkatun kasa propylene zai zama mabuɗin mahimmanci don ƙayyade farashin acrylonitrile. Idan propylene ya tsaya kusa da RMB 8,000/mt, zai yi wahala acrylonitrile ya ci gaba da faɗuwa. Duk da haka, idan farashin propylene ya ci gaba da faduwa, farashin acrylonitrile zai kasance da yiwuwar raguwa a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba.

Daga shekarar 2022 zuwa 2023, kasar Sin za ta kara ton miliyan 1.38 a kowace shekara na acrylonitrile shuke-shuke, kuma da yawa daga cikinsu suna tacewa da na'urorin tallafi masu hade da sinadarai, wadanda za a iya amfani da su. Koyaya, kawai ABS na ƙasa yana haɓaka cikin sauri, kamar acrylics da acrylamide suna cikin yanayi mai sanyi, wanda babu makawa zai haifar da yanayi mai yawa. Ana sa ran cewa a cikin shekaru uku masu zuwa, tare da haɓaka ƙarfin acrylonitrile, ribar masana'antu ta ragu, kuma wasu sababbin kayan aiki suna fuskantar yiwuwar jinkiri da tanadi.

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