Tun daga watan Agusta, farashin acetic acid a cikin gida ya ci gaba da tashi, inda matsakaicin farashin kasuwa ya tashi yuan 2877 a farkon wata zuwa yuan 3745, wata daya yana karuwa da kashi 30.17%.Ci gaba da haɓaka farashin mako-mako ya sake haɓaka ribar acetic acid.An kiyasta cewa matsakaicin babban ribar acetic acid a ranar 21 ga Agusta ya kai yuan 1070/ton.Wannan ci gaban da aka samu a cikin "ribar yuan dubu" ya kuma haifar da shakku a kasuwa game da dorewar farashin mai.
Al'adun gargajiya na baya-bayan nan a cikin Yuli da Agusta ba su da wani mummunan tasiri a kasuwa.Akasin haka, abubuwan samar da kayayyaki sun taka rawa wajen rura wutar lamarin, suna mai da asalin farashin da ya mamaye kasuwar acetic acid zuwa tsarin samar da wadataccen abu.

6-8月国内酸酸市场开工

Yawan aiki na tsire-tsire na acetic acid ya ragu, yana amfanar kasuwa
Tun daga watan Yuni, an tsara kayan aikin ciki na acetic acid don kiyayewa, wanda ya haifar da raguwa a cikin aikin aiki zuwa mafi ƙarancin 67%.Ƙarfin samar da waɗannan kayan aikin kulawa yana da girma, kuma lokacin kulawa yana da tsawo.Ƙididdiga na kowane kamfani yana ci gaba da raguwa, kuma gabaɗayan matakin ƙira yana kan ƙaramin matakin.Tun da farko, ana tunanin cewa kayan aikin gyaran za su dawo sannu a hankali a watan Yuli, amma ci gaban dawo da kayan aiki na yau da kullun bai kai ga cikakken aiki ba, tare da ci gaba da sauye-sauye na farawa da dakatarwa, wanda ke haifar da ƙuntatawa na kayayyaki na dogon lokaci da za su iya. ba za a sake siyar da shi da yawa ba a watan Yuni kuma a watan Yuli, kuma kayan kasuwa na ci gaba da kasancewa ƙasa kaɗan.

7-8月醋酸主流下游品种开工率数据对比

Tare da zuwan watan Agusta, kayan aiki na yau da kullun don kulawa na farko yana murmurewa a hankali.Duk da haka, zafi mai zafi ya haifar da gazawar kayan aiki akai-akai daga wasu masana'antun, kuma yanayin kulawa da kuskure sun faru a cikin tsari mai mahimmanci.Saboda wadannan dalilai, yawan aiki na acetic acid bai kai wani matsayi mai girma ba.Bayan da aka tara kayan kulawa a cikin watanni biyun farko, an sami karancin kayayyaki a kasuwa, lamarin da ya haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a tsakanin kamfanoni daban-daban a cikin watan Agusta.Wurin samar da kasuwar ya yi tsauri sosai, kuma farashin ya hau kan kololuwar sa.Daga wannan yanayin, za a iya ganin cewa, ƙarancin wadatar tabo a cikin watan Agusta ba ta haifar da hasashe na ɗan gajeren lokaci ba, sai dai sakamakon tarawa na dogon lokaci.Daga watan Yuni zuwa Yuli, kamfanoni daban-daban suna sarrafa bangaren samar da kayayyaki yadda ya kamata ta hanyar kiyayewa da magance matsala, suna kiyaye ingantacciyar ƙira ta acetic acid.Ana iya cewa wannan ya samar da yanayi mai kyau don karuwar farashin acetic acid a cikin watan Agusta.
2. Buƙatun ƙasa yana inganta, yana taimakawa kasuwar acetic acid ta tashi
A cikin watan Agusta, matsakaicin matsakaicin aikin acetic acid na yau da kullun ya kasance kusan kashi 58%, haɓaka kusan 3.67% idan aka kwatanta da Yuli.Wannan yana nuna ɗan ci gaba a cikin buƙatun ƙasa na cikin gida.Duk da cewa matsakaicin matsakaicin aiki na wata-wata bai wuce 60% ba, sake dawo da samar da wasu kayayyaki da kayan aiki ya yi tasiri mai kyau ga kasuwar yankin.Misali, matsakaicin matsakaicin aiki na vinyl acetate ya karu da 18.61% a watan Agusta.Na'urar da aka sake farawa a wannan watan ta fi mayar da hankali ne a yankin arewa maso yamma, wanda ya haifar da matsananciyar wadata da kuma yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a yankin.A halin yanzu, yawan aiki na PTA yana kusa da 80%.Kodayake PTA yana da ɗan ƙaramin tasiri akan farashin acetic acid, ƙimar aikinsa kai tsaye yana nuna adadin acetic acid da ake amfani dashi.A matsayin babbar kasuwa a gabashin kasar Sin, yawan aikin PTA ya kuma yi tasiri mai kyau a kasuwar acetic acid.
Binciken bayan kasuwa
Kula da masana'anta: A halin yanzu, ana kiyaye kididdigar masana'antu daban-daban a ƙaramin matakin ƙaranci, kuma kasuwa tana fuskantar ƙarancin wadatar tabo.Kamfanoni suna da matuƙar kula da sauye-sauyen ƙira, kuma da zarar ƙira ta taru, za a iya samun wani yanayi na rashin aiki da daina samarwa.Kafin tarin kayayyaki, bangaren samar da kayayyaki ya kasance mai inganci, kuma “daidaita dabara” kadan na iya samun ingantaccen tasiri a kasuwa.Ana sa ran cewa a kusa da 25 ga Agusta, za a kasance da tsare-tsaren kula da manyan na'urori a yankin Anhui, wanda zai iya daidaitawa tare da gajeren lokaci na kulawa da na'urar Nanjing, yayin da a halin yanzu babu wani tsarin kulawa na yau da kullum da aka sanar a wasu yankuna.A cikin wannan yanayin, yana da mahimmanci a kula sosai da jujjuyawar ƙirƙira na kowane kamfani da yuwuwar gazawar na'urar kwatsam.
Bukatar ƙasa: A halin yanzu, kayan kayan acetic acid na sama har yanzu ana iya sarrafa su, kuma masana'antu na ƙasa suna ci gaba da samarwa na ɗan lokaci ta hanyar kwangiloli na ɗan gajeren lokaci.Koyaya, saurin haɓakar farashin acetic acid na sama yana sa ya zama da wahala ga farashin samfuran ƙasa don watsawa gabaɗaya don kawo ƙarshen buƙatar kasuwa.Wasu manyan masana'antu na ƙasa suna fuskantar matsin riba.A halin yanzu, a cikin manyan samfuran acetic acid na ƙasa, ban da methyl acetate da n-propyl ester, ribar sauran samfuran sun kusan daidai da layin farashi.Ribar vinyl acetate (wanda aka samar ta hanyar hanyar calcium carbide), PTA, da butyl acetate har ma suna nuna wani abin da ba a canza ba.Don haka, wasu ƴan kasuwa sun ɗauki matakan rage nauyi ko kuma dakatar da samar da su.

Har ila yau, masana'antu na ƙasa suna kallo don ganin ko farashin zai iya nunawa a cikin ribar da aka samu.Idan ribar samfuran da ke ƙasa ta ragu yayin da farashin acetic acid ya kasance mai girma, ana sa ran cewa samar da ƙasa na iya ci gaba da raguwa don daidaita yanayin ribar.

酷酸部分下游品种利润情况

Sabbin ƙarfin samarwa: Ana sa ran cewa a ƙarshen Satumba da farkon Oktoba, za a sami adadi mai yawa na sabbin sassan samarwa don vinyl acetate, jimlar kusan tan 390000 na sabon ƙarfin samarwa, kuma ana tsammanin cinye kusan tan 270000 na acetic acid.A lokaci guda, ana sa ran sabon ƙarfin samar da caprolactam zai kai ton 300000, wanda zai cinye kusan tan 240000 na acetic acid.A halin yanzu an fahimci cewa kayan aikin da ake sa ran za a yi amfani da su na iya fara samar da acetic acid daga waje a tsakiyar watan Satumba.Idan aka yi la'akari da wadataccen tabo na yanzu a cikin kasuwar acetic acid, samar da waɗannan sabbin kayan aikin ya zama dole ya ba da ingantaccen tallafi ga kasuwar acetic acid kuma.

9-10月醋酸产业链新增产能统计

A cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, farashin acetic acid har yanzu yana ci gaba da haɓaka yanayi mai girma, amma karuwar farashin acetic acid a makon da ya gabata ya haifar da karuwar juriya daga masana'antun da ke ƙasa, wanda ya haifar da raguwa a hankali a hankali da kuma raguwa a cikin sha'awar sayen.A halin yanzu, akwai wasu “kumfa” da aka ƙima a cikin kasuwar acetic acid, don haka farashin na iya faɗi kaɗan.Game da halin da ake ciki na kasuwa a watan Satumba, har yanzu yana da muhimmanci a kula da lokacin samar da sabon karfin samar da acetic acid.A halin yanzu, adadin acetic acid yana da ƙasa kuma ana iya kiyaye shi har zuwa farkon Satumba.Idan ba a shigar da sabon ƙarfin samarwa a cikin aiki kamar yadda aka tsara kafin ƙarshen Satumba ba, ana iya siyan sabon ƙarfin samarwa don acetic acid a gaba.Sabili da haka, muna da kyakkyawan fata game da yanayin kasuwa a watan Satumba kuma muna buƙatar sa ido kan takamaiman abubuwan da ke faruwa a kasuwannin sama da na ƙasa, tare da sa ido sosai kan sauye-sauyen lokaci a kasuwa.


Lokacin aikawa: Agusta-22-2023