Kwanan nan, yawancin samfuran sinadarai a kasar Sin sun sami wani matsayi na karuwa, tare da wasu samfurori sun sami karuwa fiye da 10%.Wannan gyara ne na ramuwar gayya bayan raguwar tarukan kusan shekara guda a farkon matakin, kuma bai gyara yanayin koma bayan kasuwa gaba daya ba.A nan gaba, kasuwar kayayyakin sinadarai ta kasar Sin za ta kasance mai rauni na dogon lokaci.
Octanol yana amfani da acrylic acid da kuma kira gas a matsayin albarkatun kasa, vanadium a matsayin mai kara kuzari don samar da butyraldehyde gauraye, ta hanyar da n-butyraldehyde da Isobutyraldehyde suna mai ladabi don samun n-butyraldehyde da isobutyraldehyde, sa'an nan kuma ana samun samfurin octanol ta hanyar shrinkage, hydrogenation rectification, distillation. da sauran matakai.An fi amfani da ƙasa a fagen filastik, irin su dioctyl terephthalate, dioctyl Phthalic acid, isoctyl acrylate, da sauransu. TOTM/DOA da sauran filayen.
Kasuwar kasar Sin tana da babban matakin kulawa ga octanol.A gefe guda kuma, samar da octanol yana tare da samar da kayayyaki irin su butanol, wanda ke cikin jerin samfurori kuma yana da tasiri mai yawa a kasuwa;A gefe guda, a matsayin samfur mai mahimmanci na masu amfani da filastik, yana da tasiri kai tsaye ga kasuwar masu amfani da filastik.
A cikin shekarar da ta gabata, kasuwar octanol ta kasar Sin ta samu gagarumin sauyin farashi, daga yuan/ton 8650 zuwa yuan 10750/ton, wanda ya kai kashi 24.3%.A ranar 9 ga Yuni, 2023, mafi ƙarancin farashi shine yuan/ton 8650, kuma mafi girman farashi shine yuan/ton 10750 a ranar 3 ga Fabrairu, 2023.
A cikin shekarar da ta gabata, farashin octanol na kasuwa ya tashi sosai, amma matsakaicin girman girman shine kawai 24%, wanda ya ragu sosai fiye da raguwar kasuwa na yau da kullun.Bugu da kari, matsakaicin farashi a shekarar da ta gabata ya kai yuan 9500/ton, kuma a halin yanzu kasuwar ta zarce matsakaicin farashin, wanda ke nuna cewa gaba daya aikin kasuwar ya fi matsakaicin matsayi a shekarar da ta gabata.
Hoto 1: Farashin Farashin Kasuwar Octanol a China a cikin Shekarar da ta gabata (Naúrar: RMB/ton)

A halin yanzu, saboda ƙaƙƙarfan farashin kasuwa na octanol, ana tabbatar da samun ribar samar da octanol gabaɗaya a babban matakin.Bisa ka'idar farashin propylene, kasuwar octanol ta kasar Sin ta ci gaba da samun riba mai yawa a cikin shekarar da ta gabata.Matsakaicin ribar ribar masana'antar kasuwar octanol ta kasar Sin ita ce 29%, tare da matsakaicin matsakaicin ribar kusan kashi 40% da mafi karancin ribar da kashi 17%, daga Maris 2022 zuwa Yuni 2023.
Ana iya ganin cewa ko da yake farashin kasuwa ya ragu, samar da octanol har yanzu yana kan matsayi mai girma.Idan aka kwatanta da sauran kayayyakin, yawan ribar da ake samu na samar da octanol a kasar Sin ya fi matsakaicin matakin yawan kayayyakin sinadarai.
Hoto 2: Canje-canjen Riba na Octanol a China a cikin Shekarar da ta gabata (Naúrar: RMB/ton)

Abubuwan da ke haifar da babban matakin ribar samar da octanol sune kamar haka:
Da fari dai, raguwar farashin albarkatun ƙasa ya fi na octanol girma.Bisa kididdigar da aka yi, propylene a kasar Sin ya ragu da kashi 14.9 cikin dari daga Oktoba 2022 zuwa Yuni 2023, yayin da farashin octanol ya karu da 0.08%.Sabili da haka, raguwar farashin albarkatun ƙasa ya haifar da ƙarin ribar samarwa ga octanol, wanda kuma shine babban dalilin tabbatar da cewa ribar octanol ta kasance mai girma.
Daga shekara ta 2009 zuwa 2023, hauhawar farashin propylene da octanol a kasar Sin ya nuna daidaiton yanayin da ake ciki, amma kasuwar octanol tana da girman girma kuma yanayin kasuwar propylene ya kasance mai ra'ayin mazan jiya.Dangane da ingantacciyar gwajin bayanan, madaidaicin ƙimar canjin farashi a cikin kasuwannin propylene da octanol shine 68.8%, kuma akwai ƙayyadaddun alaƙa tsakanin su biyun, amma alaƙar tana da rauni.
Daga wannan adadi da ke ƙasa, ana iya ganin cewa daga Janairu 2009 zuwa Disamba 2019, yanayin sauye-sauye da girman propylene da octanol sun kasance daidai.Daga bayanan da suka dace a wannan lokacin, dacewa tsakanin su biyun yana kusa da 86%, yana nuna alaƙa mai ƙarfi.Amma tun daga shekarar 2020, octanol ya karu sosai, wanda ya bambanta sosai da canjin yanayin propylene, wanda kuma shine babban dalilin raguwar dacewa tsakanin su biyun.
Daga shekarar 2009 zuwa Yuni 2023, farashin octanol da propylene a kasar Sin ya tashi (raka'a: RMB/ton)

Na biyu, a cikin 'yan shekarun nan, sabon ikon samar da kayayyaki a kasuwar octanol a kasar Sin an iyakance shi.Dangane da bayanan da suka dace, tun daga shekarar 2017, babu sabon kayan aikin octanol a kasar Sin, kuma karfin samar da kayayyaki gaba daya ya tsaya tsayin daka.A gefe guda, fadada sikelin octanol yana buƙatar shiga cikin Samar da iskar gas, wanda ke iyakance sabbin kamfanoni da yawa.A gefe guda kuma, raguwar haɓakar kasuwannin masu amfani da ƙasa ya haifar da ɓangaren samar da kasuwar octanol ba ta hanyar buƙata ba.
Bisa la'akari da cewa karfin samar da octanol na kasar Sin ba ya karuwa, yanayin wadata da bukatu a kasuwannin octanol ya ragu, kuma rikice-rikicen kasuwa ba su yi fice ba, wanda kuma ke tallafawa ribar samar da kasuwar octanol.
Farashin kasuwar octanol daga shekara ta 2009 zuwa yanzu ya tashi daga yuan/ton 4956 zuwa yuan/ton 17855, tare da babban juzu'i, wanda kuma ke nuna rashin tabbas na farashin kasuwar octanol.Daga shekarar 2009 zuwa Yuni 2023, matsakaicin farashin octanol a kasuwannin kasar Sin ya tashi daga yuan 9300 zuwa yuan 9800.Fitowar wuraren juzu'i da yawa a baya kuma yana nuna goyan baya ko juriya na matsakaicin farashin octanol zuwa canjin kasuwa.
Ya zuwa watan Yuni na shekarar 2023, matsakaicin farashin octanol a kasar Sin ya kai yuan 9300 kan kowace tan, wanda ke tsakanin matsakaicin farashin kasuwa na shekaru 13 da suka gabata.Matsakaicin farashi na tarihi shine yuan 5534, kuma madaidaicin juzu'i shine yuan / ton 9262.Wato, idan farashin kasuwar octanol ya ci gaba da raguwa, ƙananan ma'ana na iya zama matakin tallafi don wannan yanayin ƙasa.Tare da sake dawowa da hauhawar farashin, matsakaicin farashin tarihin tarihin yuan / ton na iya zama matakin juriya ga hauhawar farashin.
Daga 2009 zuwa 2023, yanayin farashin octanol a kasar Sin ya bambanta (raka'a: RMB/ton)


A cikin 2023, kasar Sin za ta kara sabon tsarin na'urorin octanol, wanda zai karya rikodin babu sabbin na'urorin octanol a cikin 'yan shekarun da suka gabata, kuma ana sa ran zai kara tsananta yanayi mara kyau a kasuwar octanol.Bugu da ƙari, a cikin tsammanin rashin ƙarfi na dogon lokaci a kasuwar sinadarai, ana sa ran cewa farashin octanol a kasar Sin zai kasance mai rauni na dogon lokaci, wanda zai iya sanya matsin lamba kan riba a matsayi mafi girma.